Kansas professor uses statistical science to fill out NCAA bracket

His final four: KU, Gonzaga, Kentucky and Villanova

Jim Cunningham
March 16, 2017 - 6:00 am

A professor at the University of Kansas says he is going a step beyond simply filling out an NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament bracket. 

It can be difficult not to get caught up in the madness of college basketball in March, especially for people who live in Lawrence. Jonathan Templin has taken his statistical knowledge and developed a model to predict the Final Four. 

The model is similar to others, using statistics for points scored, points allowed, home court advantage. But there is one other component in Templin's calculations.

"If you have a team that plays very consistently, that rates it higher, sort of strengthens the effect it would have, in addition to the overall strength of the team itself," Templin said. 

As part of the analysis, 10,000 random tournament brackets are simulated. Templin drew up a bracket from one of those and got KU, Gonzaga, Kentucky & Villanova in the Final Four. That simulated bracket has KU losing to Gonzaga. 

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